Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.009530 0.011393 0.013680 0.016745 0.020834 0.026232 0.034135
2025-03-09 0.007039 0.009116 0.011981 0.016393 0.023369 0.034692 0.056331
2025-03-16 0.005923 0.008091 0.011331 0.016850 0.026825 0.046185 0.094314
2025-03-23 0.005108 0.007246 0.010632 0.016862 0.029401 0.057843 0.149688
2025-03-30 0.004398 0.006404 0.009712 0.016147 0.030198 0.066371 0.214859
2025-04-06 0.003910 0.005825 0.009099 0.015799 0.031600 0.077803 0.327127
2025-04-13 0.003622 0.005525 0.008906 0.016215 0.035021 0.099137 0.608767
2025-04-20 0.003455 0.005404 0.009011 0.017289 0.040827 0.137988 1.561388
2025-04-27 0.003269 0.005220 0.008953 0.017977 0.046036 0.185805 4.937124
2025-05-04 0.003044 0.004934 0.008642 0.017956 0.049006 0.230267 18.626858
2025-05-11 0.002848 0.004679 0.008351 0.017912 0.051968 0.286039 212.888650
2025-05-18 0.002641 0.004379 0.007923 0.017388 0.052805 0.329963 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002405 0.004023 0.007368 0.016517 0.052373 0.371945 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002231 0.003773 0.007023 0.016196 0.054486 0.467662 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002125 0.003648 0.006942 0.016646 0.060974 0.710763 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002006 0.003483 0.006739 0.016658 0.065365 1.012315 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001863 0.003253 0.006351 0.015955 0.065019 1.197546 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001753 0.003084 0.006087 0.015612 0.066846 1.578582 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001689 0.003006 0.006040 0.016021 0.074529 2.870608 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001657 0.002994 0.006156 0.017078 0.089253 8.630048 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001610 0.002944 0.006168 0.017754 0.102672 34.107064 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001542 0.002840 0.006019 0.017733 0.109653 140.984993 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001478 0.002741 0.005873 0.017690 0.116786 2547.088052 NaN